Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 32
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Lusiama E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 1, Hayes K. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 2, Hayes K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ashton United
30.4% | Draw
26% | Stockton Town
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockton Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ashton United - Stockton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.52) |
3.51 ↓
(3.62) |
2.09 ↓
(2.48) |
9.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Stockton Town might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Ashton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Stockton Town?
Ashton United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockton Town won against Ashton United?
Stockton Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ashton United - Stockton Town were as follows:
18.10.2025
Stockton Town
-
Ashton United
1:2
15.03.2025
Ashton United
-
Stockton Town
0:1
09.11.2024
Stockton Town
-
Ashton United
1:2
Latest results of Ashton United
Latest results of Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 73 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 26 | 73 |
| 3 | FC United | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 62:36 | 26 | 71 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 58:40 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Stockton | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58:47 | 11 | 58 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:44 | 9 | 58 |
| 8 | Cleethorpes | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 56:46 | 10 | 54 |
| 9 | Leek | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:50 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Ashton Utd | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:50 | -7 | 51 |
| 11 | Bamber Bridge | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 51:48 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Ilkeston | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 49:52 | -3 | 48 |
| 13 | Warrington | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 41:58 | -17 | 48 |
| 14 | Guiseley | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 45:55 | -10 | 47 |
| 15 | Rushall | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 47:59 | -12 | 44 |
| 16 | Whitby | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Hyde | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 54:62 | -8 | 41 |
| 18 | Workington | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 40 |
| 19 | Morpeth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 36:53 | -17 | 39 |
| 20 | Prescot | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 38:63 | -25 | 35 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
