Dijon vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premiere Ligue Women - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.311.01
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
44
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
24
Passes
83% (387/466)83% (337/407)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.311.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.53
Total shots
913
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
56
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
610
Passes
83% (387/466)83% (337/407)
Long passes
47% (28/59)66% (27/41)
Passes in final third
70% (55/79)66% (65/99)
Crosses
7% (1/14)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.84
Throw ins
1623
Fouls
106
Tackles
71% (17/24)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
1719
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.531.61
Goals prevented
-0.470.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Haelewyn M. , Ndzana C. ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Swierot J. ,
  • 61', Terchoun M. , Krezyman N. ,
  • 68', Gay L. , Wu Chengshu ,
  • 68', Fleury L. , Eloissaint R. ,
  • 70', Calba L. 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 77', Calba L. , Robillard C. ,
  • 77', Toloba A. , Khelifi L. ,
  • 79', Grzybowska G. , Domin O. ,
  • 79', Fontaine A. , Kopinska D. ,
  • 80', Cosson M. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Declercq L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+4', Saoud I. , Mossard J. ,

Chances of winning


Dijon
44%
Draw
26.7%
Nantes
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 27.1% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 26.3% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dijon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dijon - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.87)
    3.41
    (3.35)
    3.12
    (3.72)
    9.6%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Dijon is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nantes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dijon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dijon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dijon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dijon - Nantes were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Dijon - Nantes 2:1
    01.11.2025 Nantes - Dijon 1:2
    29.03.2025 Dijon - Nantes 3:0
    09.11.2024 Nantes - Dijon 0:2
    Latest results of Dijon
    04.02.2026 Dijon - Nantes 2:1
    31.01.2026 Strasbourg - Dijon 0:3
    25.01.2026 Dijon - Fleury 91 1:0
    21.01.2026 Dijon - Reims 4:0
    17.01.2026 Montpellier - Dijon 1:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    04.02.2026 Dijon - Nantes 2:1
    31.01.2026 Nantes - Lens 2:2
    24.01.2026 Nantes - Le Mans 5:0
    17.01.2026 Saint-Étienne - Nantes 0:1
    14.01.2026 Paris FC - Nantes 1:2
    French Division 1 Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon W ✔ 19172068:95953
    2Paris FC W19123436:132339
    3PSG W19122542:261638
    4Nantes W19113536:30636
    5Dijon W1986519:22-330
    6Fleury 91 W1985623:17629
    7Strasbourg W1975723:30-726
    8Le Havre W19451019:39-2017
    9Marseille W19441125:41-1616
    10St Etienne W19331310:34-2412
    11Lens W19331317:43-2612
    12Montpellier W19331326:40-1412

          Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Seconde Ligue Women

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lyon W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)