Montreal Alouettes vs BC Lions: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Canadian football CFL Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions
05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Montreal Alouettes
66.3%
BC Lions
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • BC Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montreal Alouettes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Lions than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BC Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.45)

    2.83
    (2.8)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
    • Montreal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lions has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
    • Montreal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 398:546. (average 19.9:27.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 256:268. (average 23.3:24.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions were as follows:
    19.10.2024 BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes 27:3
    06.09.2024 Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions 23:37
    02.09.2023 Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions 25:34
    09.07.2023 BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes 35:19
    09.09.2022 Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions 31:10
    Latest results of Montreal Alouettes
    Latest results of BC Lions
    07.06.2025 BC Lions - Edmonton Elks 31:14
    30.05.2025 Edmonton Elks - BC Lions 20:19
    19.05.2025 BC Lions - Calgary Stampeders 16:26
    CFL Table
    Main

    East Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Montreal Alouettes430001122:916
    2Hamilton Tiger-Cats31000284:832
    3Toronto Argonauts41000390:1122
    4Ottawa Redblacks41000380:1112


    West Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Saskatchewan Roughriders440000135:998
    2Winnipeg Blue Bombers33000097:576
    3Calgary Stampeders32000179:654
    4BC Lions41000383:1122
    5Edmonton Elks30000365:1050

          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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