Result
3:4 OT
03/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mestis
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.82% (3/34) | 11.76% (4/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.24% (30/34) | 91.18% (31/34) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (5/5) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 06:38, 1 - 0, Boucher E. (G), Virtanen E. (A), Sikorski A. (A2)
- 07:57, 1 - 1, Curri R. (G), Samitis K. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 08:48, 1 - 2, Suomalainen S. (G), Mykra O. (A), Hattunen M. (A2)
- 16:32, 1 - 3, Ring L. (G), Oden M. (A),
- 17:54, 2 - 3, Kaarela E. (G), Kenttamaa A. (A), Jarvela J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:50, 3 - 3, Jarvela J. (G), Siira L. (A), Virtanen E. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 04:48, 3 - 4, Valtola K. (G),
Chances of winning
RoKi
39.7% | Draw
22.6% | IPK
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RoKi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RoKi's form might have worsened.IPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IPK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RoKi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
RoKi - IPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(1.97) |
4.03 ↓
(4.16) |
2.42 ↓
(3.04) |
9.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- RoKi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, IPK has had a series of home games.
- RoKi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that RoKi will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 49:83. (average 2.5:4.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, RoKi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 2.6:3.8).
How many head-to-head matches has RoKi won against IPK?
RoKi has won 12 of their last 34 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IPK won against RoKi?
IPK has won 21 of their last 34 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RoKi - IPK were as follows:
10.01.2026
IPK
-
RoKi
5:1
19.12.2025
RoKi
-
IPK
5:3
07.10.2025
RoKi
-
IPK
4:5
26.09.2025
IPK
-
RoKi
6:5
08.03.2025
RoKi
-
IPK
0:2
Finnish Mestis Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Jokerit ✔ | 46 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 163:90 | 100 |
| 2 | IPK ✔ | 45 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 159:135 | 80 |
| 3 | K-Vantaa ✔ | 46 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 142:135 | 75 |
| 4 | Kettera ✔ | 45 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 139:132 | 70 |
| 5 | RoKi ✔ | 46 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 145:146 | 69 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Pojat | 45 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 142:148 | 64 |
| 7 | TUTO | 45 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 127:126 | 62 |
| 8 | Hermes | 45 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 138:161 | 60 |
| 9 | Pyry | 45 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 127:166 | 52 |
| 10 | KeuPa ✔ | 46 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 126:169 | 49 |
Promotion ~ Mestis (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Mestis (Relegation)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
K-Vantaa is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Kettera is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
RoKi is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)
