Adelaide Lightning vs Geelong Venom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
99:93 OT
21/11/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 6

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7078
Field Goals Made
3834
Field Goals %
54.29%43.59%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4853
2-Point Field Goals Made
3124
2-Point Field Goals %
64.58%45.28%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2225
3-Point Field Goals Made
710
3-Point Field Goals %
31.82%40%
Free Throws Attempted
2020
Free Throws Made
1615
Free Throws %
80%75%
Offensive Rebounds
1215
Defensive Rebounds
3021
Total Rebounds
4236
Assists
2618
Blocks
71
Turnovers
1915
Steals
713
Personal Fouls
1518

Chances of winning


Adelaide Lightning
33.7%
Geelong Venom
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 67%

Adelaide Lightning - Geelong Venom Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.74
(2.56)

1.4
(1.4)
8.2%
(10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 153.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
Preview Facts
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • Geelong Venom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Geelong Venom has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Geelong Venom is the team to beat.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 288:321. (average 72:80.3).
  • Including home match between the teams, Adelaide won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 87:70.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Lightning - Geelong Venom were as follows:
25.10.2025 Geelong Venom - Adelaide Lightning 110:76
15.02.2025 Adelaide Lightning - Geelong Venom 87:70
07.12.2024 Geelong Venom - Adelaide Lightning 69:59
16.11.2024 Geelong Venom - Adelaide Lightning 72:66
Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
Latest results of Geelong Venom
Australian WNBL Table
2025/26
PlWLPCT
1Townsville W871721:5500.875
2Bendigo W752522:4860.714
3Perth Lynx W853580:6090.625
4Southside W633464:4600.500
5Geelong Venom W835626:6080.375
6Adelaide Lightning W835615:6890.375
7Canberra Capitals W725507:5520.286
8Sydney W826579:6600.250

      Promotion ~ WNBL Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)