Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 21
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (246/354) | 77% (300/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (246/354) | 77% (300/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/73) | 41% (26/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (80/128) | 60% (75/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.00 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Kvet R. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kouyate K. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
- 46', Scott C. ↓, Foulon D. ↑,
- 56', Kvet R. 🟨,
- 59', Praet D. ↓, Verstraeten A. ↑,
- 59', Al Sahafi M. ↓, Vandeplas G. ↑,
- 75', Ferraro F. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
- 83', Somers T. ↓, Babadi I. ↑,
- 83', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 90', Mbamba N. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 90', Nsimba B. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 90+7', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
31.1% | Draw
29.9% | Royal Antwerp
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Royal Antwerp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Dender EH - Royal Antwerp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.93) |
3.14 ↓
(3.17) |
2.41 ↑
(2.39) |
6.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Royal Antwerp?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Antwerp will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antwerp: 58% – 94.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Antwerp (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Royal Antwerp will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Antwerp (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Dender EH is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Antwerp is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Antwerp has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dender EH: De Fougerolles L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Antwerp: Engels B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Hairemans G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Adewusi R.
(Inactive)
Fredrick B.
(Knee Injury)
Oratmangoen R.
(Knee Injury)
Verrips M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Royal Antwerp?
Dender EH has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Royal Antwerp won against Dender EH?
Royal Antwerp has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Royal Antwerp were as follows:
23.11.2025
Royal Antwerp
-
Dender EH
1:2
21.12.2024
Dender EH
-
Royal Antwerp
1:3
22.11.2024
Royal Antwerp
-
Dender EH
1:1
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Royal Antwerp
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
