Bristol Rovers vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 39
  • Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.912.07
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
75% (339/450)67% (190/284)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
0.912.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.532.16
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2120
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
75% (339/450)67% (190/284)
Long passes
31% (22/71)29% (19/65)
Passes in final third
57% (71/124)51% (54/105)
Crosses
29% (6/21)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.72
Fouls
1114
Tackles
56% (14/25)45% (9/20)
Duels won
5558
Clearances Total
3338
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.160.53
Goals prevented
0.16-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Vickers C. , Evans W. (A),
  • 12', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
  • 21', Boateng H. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Sawyers R. , Forde S. (A),
  • 32', Boateng H. , Lewis A. ,
  • 43', Reed L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vickers C. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Dwyer D. , Baccus K. (A),
  • 70', Sawyers R. , Butcher M. ,
  • 70', Senior J. , Hunt J. ,
  • 70', Forde S. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 70', Ward G. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 71', Hewitt E. , Bowery J. ,
  • 82', Evans W. , Flint A. ,
  • 82', Reed L. , Kilgour A. ,
  • 86', O'Donkor G. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 89', Baccus K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
25.6%
Draw
27.4%
Mansfield Town
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 27.5% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 27.1% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (3.17)
    3.43
    (3.41)
    2.03
    (2.19)
    5.8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Mansfield will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 35.2%84.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Mansfield will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F. (Inactive) Gregory L. (Inactive) Oates R. (Inactive) Quinn B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Martin C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Craig M. (Inactive) MacDonald C. (Inactive) Maris G. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Mansfield Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two