Barcelona vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League Barcelona - Bayern Munich
Result
4:1
23/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Barcelona - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.04
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1211
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
54
Free Kicks
1011
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
13
Throw-ins
1727
Goalkeeper Saves
20
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
372565
Completed Passes
305495
Crosses Completed
22
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Raphinha ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Gnabry S. (A),
  • 27', Kimmich J. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 1, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Lopez F. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Casado M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 4 - 1, Raphinha ⚽, Yamal L. (A),
  • 60', Olise M. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
  • 60', Muller T. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
  • 60', Gnabry S. ↓, Coman K. ↑,
  • 60', Palhinha J. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
  • 61', Lopez F. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
  • 75', Raphinha ↓, Olmo D. ↑,
  • 85', Yamal L. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
  • 85', Lewandowski R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
  • 85', Pedri ↓, Gavi ↑,
  • 85', Guerreiro R. ↓, Laimer K. ↑,
  • 90', Goretzka L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barcelona
37%		Draw
24.9%		Bayern Munich
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 23.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 23.6% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona's form might have worsened.
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern Munich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Barcelona - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.61 ↑
    (2.22)    		 3.88 ↓
    (4.01)    		 2.53 ↓
    (2.9)    		 3.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás, TUDN
    •
    What is the prediction for Barcelona - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 33 - 47.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 14 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 32.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 35.4% – 58.8%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 0.
    • Barcelona is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bayern is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Araujo R. (Muscle Injury) Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Torres F. (Muscle Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Knee Injury) Buchmann T. (Muscle Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Pavlovic A. (Broken collarbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Garcia E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Musiala J. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7:31 (average 0.7:3.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:17 (average 1:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    26.10.2022 Barcelona - Bayern Munich 0:3
    13.09.2022 Bayern Munich - Barcelona 2:0
    Latest results of Barcelona
    20.10.2024 Barcelona - Sevilla 5:1 ✺
    06.10.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Barcelona 0:3 ✺
    01.10.2024 Barcelona - Young Boys 5:0 ✺
    28.09.2024 Osasuna - Barcelona 4:2 ✺
    25.09.2024 Barcelona - Getafe 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    19.10.2024 Bayern Munich - Stuttgart 4:0 ✺
    06.10.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich 3:3 ✺
    02.10.2024 Aston Villa - Bayern Munich 1:0 ✺
    28.09.2024 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺
    21.09.2024 Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich 0:5 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3
    3ZalgirisHamrun2 : 0
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost1 : 0
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik1 : 0
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange1 : 0
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk1 : 0
    17TNSShkendija0 : 0
    18FCSBInter Escaldes3 : 1
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski0 : 2
    21ShelbourneLinfield1 : 0
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami1 : 0
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty1 : 1
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
    Which TV channels are streaming of Barcelona - Bayern Munich?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    afghanistanAfghanistanAsr TV, Meraj Sport
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    argentinaArgentinaFox Sports
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
    belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileESPN Premium
    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaESPN 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
    hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
    icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
    indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
    italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
    japanJapanWowow Prime
    kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Q Sport Arena
    kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    luxembourgLuxembourgRTL 2, RTL 2
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3, TVM Sport+
    montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 3
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5
    usaUsaParamount+, SiriusXM FC, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
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    worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app
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