Result
1:3
25/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (360/440) | 75% (261/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (360/440) | 75% (261/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 47% (29/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (106/150) | 55% (51/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 68% (17/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.12 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', Latkovic A. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
- 24', 0 - 1, Suto A. ⚽, Nestorovski I. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Suto A. ⚽, Mitrovic J. (A),
- 35', 1 - 2, Mamic L. ⚽, Abdullazada R. (A),
- 45', Zuta L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zuta L. ↓, Jakir A. ↑,
- 46', Borsic A. ↓, Jovanov V. ↑,
- 46', Mamut I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 3, Jagusic A. ⚽, Nestorovski I. (A),
- 60', Kovacic D. 🟨,
- 63', Vuk M. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 69', Caimacov M. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
- 69', Mitrovic J. ↓, Katalinic Z. ↑,
- 75', Abdullazada R. ↓, Begonja D. ↑,
- 78', Nestorovski I. ↓, Filipovic A. ↑,
- 87', Suto A. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 89', Skaricic L. 🟨,
- 89', Jakir A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
43.4% | Draw
28.5% | Slaven Belupo
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Varaždin - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2) |
3.29 ↓
(3.35) |
3.34 ↓
(3.44) |
7.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Varaždin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Injury)
Isasegi K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Slaven Belupo?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Varaždin?
Slaven Belupo has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
10.08.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
3:1
22.04.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
0:1
16.02.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
0:1
10.01.2025
Varaždin
-
Slaven Belupo
1:0
10.11.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Varaždin
1:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Din. Zagreb | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | Gorica | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 11 |
| 10 | Osijek | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
