Djoliba vs Espérance ST – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/01/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako).

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Round 5
Referee: Atcho P. (Gab)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Mali	ORTM
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.10	2.37
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Goal Attempts
8	12
Shots on Goal
0	2
Shots off Goal
6	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Big Chances
0	6
Corner Kicks
3	5
Shots inside the Box
4	10
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
Free Kicks
15	24
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
24	15
Yellow Cards
3	3
Throw-ins
18	29
Touches in the Opposition Box
8	27
Passes
70% (292/420)	71% (273/383)
Passes in the final third
43% (53/123)	49% (47/95)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	56% (5/9)
Tackles
80% (16/20)	75% (9/12)
Clearances Total
14	40
Interceptions
8	14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Belaili Y. 🟨,
29', Azouni L. 🟨,
38', Mokwana E. 🟨,
45+1', Diallo O. 🟨,
45+3', Araba Dakouo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ben Ali M. ↓, Ogbelu O. ↑,
59', Azouni L. ↓, Aholou R. ↑,
62', Araba Dakouo F. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
62', Doumbia A. ↓, Simpara Y. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Mokwana E. ⚽, Ben Hamida M. (A),
74', Yan Sasse ↓, Ben M. A. ↑,
78', Keita A. 🟨,
80', Simpara Z. ↓, Kane B. ↑,
80', Keita A. ↓, Wague A. ↑,
88', Mokwana E. ↓, Maacha K. ↑,
88', Konate A. ↓, Chaaleli G. ↑,

Chances of winning

Djoliba
17.3%

Draw
29.4%

Espérance ST
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

26.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djoliba's form might have worsened.

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Djoliba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Djoliba - Espérance ST Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (3.8)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)	8.7% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Djoliba - Espérance ST?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Djoliba will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espérance ST: 35.9% – 97.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Recent matches Djoliba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Espérance ST is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Djoliba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Espérance ST is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Djoliba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

How many head-to-head matches has Djoliba won against Espérance ST?

Djoliba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Espérance ST won against Djoliba?

Espérance ST has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Djoliba - Espérance ST were as follows:

26.11.2024 Espérance ST - Djoliba 4:0

Latest results of Djoliba

05.01.2025 Sagrada Esperança - Djoliba 1:0 ✺

15.12.2024 Djoliba - Sagrada Esperança 0:0 ✺

11.12.2024 USFAS Bamako - Djoliba 1:2 ✺

08.12.2024 Djoliba - Pyramids 0:0 ✺

03.12.2024 Étoiles du Mandé - Djoliba 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Espérance ST

05.01.2025 Pyramids - Espérance ST 2:1 ✺

29.12.2024 Sfaxien - Espérance ST 0:1 ✺

25.12.2024 EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST 0:3 ✺

22.12.2024 Espérance ST - Club Africain 2:2 ✺

14.12.2024 Espérance ST - Pyramids 2:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

Semi-finals

1	Aigle Noir	ASAS	1 : 1, 0 : 0
2	Bye	Al Ahly
3	Ethiopian Insurance	Mlandege	2 : 3, 2 : 0
4	APR	Pyramids	0 : 2
5	Mogadishu City	Police FC	2 : 0, 1 : 3
6	Jamus	Al-Hilal Omdurman	0 : 1, 0 : 0
7	Rahimo	Mangasport	1 : 0, 0 : 0
8	ASFAN	Esperance Tunis	1 : 4, 0 : 3
9	Dadje	Al Ahly Tripoli	0 : 1, 0 : 0
10	ASC Kara	Berkane	1 : 3, 1 : 1
11	East End Lions	Monastir	1 : 3, 0 : 4
12	Bibiani Gold Stars	Kabylie	0 : 5, 0 : 2
13	Fundacion Bata	Nouadhibou	0 : 2, 0 : 0
14	Tempete MOCAF	Stade Malien	0 : 2, 0 : 5
15	Al Hilal Benghazi	Horoya	0 : 2, 1 : 0
16	Real Banjul	FAR Rabat	1 : 2, 0 : 2
17	Colombe	Jaraaf	1 : 0, 0 : 0
18	Fassell	MC Alger	0 : 3, 0 : 0
19	Remo Stars	Zilimadjou	1 : 0, 4 : 0
20	Bye	Mamelodi Sundowns
21	Simba Bhora	Nsingizini Hotspurs	0 : 2, 1 : 0
22	Gaborone Utd	Simba	1 : 1, 0 : 1
23	Elgeco Plus	Silver Strikers	0 : 0, 1 : 1
24	Wiliete	Young Africans	0 : 2, 0 : 3
25	Cote d'Or	Stade d'Abidjan	1 : 3, 0 : 2
26	Cercle De Joachim	Petro Atletico	0 : 3, 0 : 3
27	Leopard	Black Bulls	0 : 1, 0 : 0
28	Aigles du Congo	Rivers United	0 : 1, 0 : 0
29	African Stars	Vipers	0 : 1, 0 : 1
30	Power Dynamos	ASEC Mimosas	1 : 1, 1 : 0
31	St Eloi Lupopo	Al-Merreikh	1 : 0
32	Lioli	Orlando Pirates	0 : 4, 0 : 3

Final

1	Aigle Noir	Al Ahly
2	Ethiopian Insurance	TBD #4
3	Police FC	Al-Hilal Omdurman
4	Rahimo	Esperance Tunis
5	Al Ahly Tripoli	Berkane
6	Monastir	Kabylie
7	Nouadhibou	Stade Malien
8	Horoya	FAR Rabat
9	Colombe	MC Alger
10	Remo Stars	Mamelodi Sundowns
11	Nsingizini Hotspurs	Simba
12	Silver Strikers	Young Africans
13	Stade d'Abidjan	Petro Atletico
14	Black Bulls	Rivers United
15	Vipers	Power Dynamos
16	TBD #31	Orlando Pirates