Constancia vs Formentera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Constancia
61%
Draw
24.1%
Formentera
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 27.7% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.4% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constancia's performance.
  • Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Formentera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constancia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Constancia - Formentera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.97)
    4.55
    (3.3)
    7.34
    (3.55)
    -8.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
    • Constancia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Formentera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Constancia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Constancia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Constancia - Formentera were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Formentera - Constancia 2:2
    06.04.2025 Constancia - Formentera 3:2
    24.11.2024 Formentera - Constancia 1:1
    Latest results of Constancia
    17.01.2026 Portmany - Constancia 0:1
    10.01.2026 Inter Ibiza - Constancia 2:0
    20.12.2025 Constancia - Llosetense 3:0
    13.12.2025 Collerense - Constancia 1:1
    Latest results of Formentera
    18.01.2026 Formentera - Inter Ibiza 0:0
    11.01.2026 Formentera - Llosetense 1:1
    04.01.2026 Cardassar - Formentera 1:2
    20.12.2025 Formentera - Manacor 0:1
    14.12.2025 Mercadal - Formentera 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B24193267:145360
    2Manacor24193252:242860
    3Pena Deportiva23155346:182850
    4Llosetense24126640:291142
    5Constancia23114831:211037
    6Mercadal21103821:19233
    7Inter Ibiza231031028:30-233
    8Cardassar2496926:38-1233
    9Binissalem2478916:23-729
    10Santanyi24851131:44-1329
    11Alcudia24921324:41-1729
    12Formentera23610720:20028
    13Platges de Calvia23841128:29-128
    14Son Cladera23741225:34-925
    15Portmany23731318:31-1324
    16Felanitx24481219:33-1420
    17Rotlet Molinar23351521:43-2214
    18Collerense23181425:47-2211

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