SKA-VMF vs Rostov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Chances of winning


SKA-VMF
57%
Draw
22.2%
Rostov
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 21.5% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 26% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-VMF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • SKA-VMF - Rostov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.61)
    4.23
    (4.35)
    4.49
    (4.63)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, SKA-VMF is the team to beat.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:28. (average 3.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 3.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SKA-VMF - Rostov were as follows:
    09.09.2025 Rostov - SKA-VMF 3:0
    24.12.2024 SKA-VMF - Rostov 1:2
    19.11.2024 Rostov - SKA-VMF 2:1
    15.12.2023 Rostov - SKA-VMF 5:2
    30.10.2023 SKA-VMF - Rostov 3:2
    Latest results of SKA-VMF
    11.03.2026 SKA-VMF - Buran Voronezh 3:0
    01.03.2026 Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF 3:2
    27.02.2026 Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF 1:2
    25.02.2026 Omskie Krylia - SKA-VMF 1:0
    Latest results of Rostov
    06.03.2026 Rostov - Norilsk 1:3
    04.03.2026 Rostov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk 2:1
    28.02.2026 Rostov - Dynamo-Altay 2:1
    25.02.2026 Tambov - Rostov 0:1
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 60381147215:128102
    2HC Yugra ✔ 6038868174:9098
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5934799215:12391
    4Khimik ✔ 60335715176:12083
    5Ryazan ✔ 60288519157:13677
    6Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ 592581016171:13276
    7Chelmet Chelyabinsk59295718172:15675
    8Gornyak59259718176:14275
    9Izhevsk ✔ 59313619152:13274
    10Torpedo Gorky612410621170:13874
    11Omskie Krylia59287420156:12574
    12Dizel60275820149:13672
    13Krasnoyarsk612111821144:14472
    14Perm592112620138:14872
    15CSK VVS59248720160:13971
    16Rubin Tyumen591913720145:13371
    17Bars602351319125:13669
    18Toros Neftekamsk59226823134:14564
    19Zvezda Moscow59235625134:13962
    20Kurgan59207725134:14361
    21Dinamo St. Petersburg59225626152:16060
    22AKM611313827136:16960
    23SKA-VMF St. Petersburg60214827118:15158
    24Tambov60178629144:16756
    25Olympia59149927103:15055
    26Orsk5918392997:15951
    27Buran Voronezh61166732128:17751
    28Kristall Saratov59184631133:16850
    29Dyn. Altay611271131128:19049
    30HK Norilsk60165534117:16347
    31Chelny59128435131:18644
    32HC Rostov60134934117:17643

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)