Result
2:5
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 3.03 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.33% (2/24) | 15.63% (5/32) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.1% (27/31) | 91.67% (22/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.17 | 52.83 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 09:58, Virtanen S. (2 min),
- 10:20, 0 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Looke J. (A), Henman L. (A2)
- 14:43, 0 - 2, Borg E. (G), Johansson S. (A), Palola O. (A2)
- 16:00, Quenneville P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 05:30, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 07:12, 1 - 2, Sallinen T. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Quenneville P. (A2)
- 09:24, Hamalainen J. (2 min),
- 13:03, Nyberg J. (2 min),
- 13:52, 2 - 2, Kangasniemi I. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Rask J. (A2)
- 17:39, 2 - 3, Borg E. (G), Palola O. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 08:26, Ratinen S. (2 min),
- 09:42, Nakyva K. (2 min),
- 11:58, 2 - 4, Borg E. (G), Nyberg J. (A), Palola O. (A2)
- 16:12, 2 - 5, Palola O. (G), Parikka J. (A), Bjorkqvist K. (A2)
- 19:25, Jurmo J. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
28.2% | Draw
23.8% | Ilves
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.95) |
3.89 ↑
(3.79) |
1.94 ↓
(2.1) |
7.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2.
- Recent form of Kiekko-Espoo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ilves is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 2.6:4.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Ilves?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Ilves has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves were as follows:
19.12.2025
Ilves
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:0
22.11.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Ilves
4:3
29.10.2025
Ilves
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:7
01.02.2025
Ilves
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:2
14.12.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Ilves
2:3
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
