Result
17:21
28/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership Rugby - Round 12
- Referee: Woodthorpe A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 100 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 406 | 507 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (7 - 14)
- 6', Litchfield T. (Try),
- 7', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', McParland A. (Try),
- 13', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Elliott T. (Try),
- 22', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Iyogun E. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
- 29', Smith F. ↓, Dingwall F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (10 - 7)
- 44', Dan T. (Try),
- 45', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Carre R. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
- 50', Dan T. ↓, George J. ↑,
- 50', Street M. ↓, Riccioni M. ↑,
- 50', Green L. ↓, Davison T. ↑,
- 50', Prowse E. ↓, Mescht JJ ↑,
- 55', Willis T. ↓, Michelow N. ↑,
- 55', Langdon C. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
- 62', McFarland T. ↓, Isiekwe N. ↑,
- 62', Davison T. ↓, Green L. ↑,
- 64', Bracken C. ↓, van Zyl I. ↑,
- 66', Kemeny J. ↓, Chick C. ↑,
- 68', Farrell O. ↓, Burke F. ↑,
- 70', Segun R. ↓, Malins M. ↑,
- 72', Burke F. (Penalty Goal),
- 72', Lockett T. ↓, Munga C. ↑,
- 77', McParland A. (Try),
- 78', Hutchinson R. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Saracens
43.7% | Draw
4.7% | Northampton Saints
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saracens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Saracens - Northampton Saints Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.07) |
19.78 ↑
(18.19) |
1.78 ↓
(1.86) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 1.
- Saracens has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Northampton Saints is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Saracens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 627:616. (average 31.4:30.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 306:273. (average 34:30.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Saracens won against Northampton Saints?
Saracens has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Saints won against Saracens?
Northampton Saints has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saracens - Northampton Saints were as follows:
28.02.2026
Northampton Saints
-
Saracens
35:33
24.10.2025
Northampton Saints
-
Saracens
43:31
19.09.2025
Saracens
-
Northampton Saints
34:49
17.05.2025
Northampton Saints
-
Saracens
28:24
22.12.2024
Saracens
-
Northampton Saints
39:24
Latest results of Saracens
Latest results of Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton Saints | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 439:326 | 52 |
| 2 | Bath | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 436:278 | 51 |
| 3 | Leicester Tigers | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 372:274 | 46 |
| 4 | Exeter Chiefs | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 336:207 | 45 |
| 5 | Bristol | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 376:298 | 43 |
| 6 | Saracens | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 415:331 | 33 |
| 7 | Sale Sharks | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 325:354 | 22 |
| 8 | Gloucester | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 269:443 | 16 |
| 9 | Harlequins | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 233:393 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 208:505 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup
