Result
14:28
04/10/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Rugby Championship - Round 6
- Referee: Carley M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Nine |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 75 | 43 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 133 | 110 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 458 | 378 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (9 - 17)
- 5', Edmed T. (Penalty Goal),
- 7', Carter L. (Try),
- 8', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Edmed T. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', Hooper T. 🟨,
- 14', Skelton W. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 16', Edmed T. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Tupaea Q. (Try),
- 33', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
- 35', Tupaea Q. (Try),
- 36', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (5 - 11)
- 41', Slipper J. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 41', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
- 44', Ikitau L. 🟨,
- 51', Holland F. ↓, Tuipulotu P. ↑,
- 52', Frost N. ↓, Valetini R. ↑,
- 56', Tupaea Q. ↓, Ioane R. ↑,
- 57', Gordon J. ↓, Lonergan R. ↑,
- 61', Taylor C. ↓, Taukei'aho S. ↑,
- 62', Pollard B. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
- 62', Lakai P. ↓, Sititi W. ↑,
- 62', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
- 66', Williams T. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
- 66', Newell F. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
- 66', Ikitau L. (Try),
- 66', Edmed T. (Missed Conversion),
- 70', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
- 71', Potter H. ↓, Flook J. ↑,
- 72', Mcreight F. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
- 73', Roigard C. ↓, Ratima C. ↑,
- 73', Faingaanuku L. ↓, Love R. ↑,
- 80', Bower G. (Try),
- 80', Flook J. ↓, Frost N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Australia
38.1% | Draw
4.4% | New Zealand
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Zealand might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Australia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand than the current prediction. (+3%)
Australia - New Zealand Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.81) |
20.96 ↓
(29) |
1.63 ↑
(1.46) |
7.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 3 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- New Zealand will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Australia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 355:650. (average 17.8:32.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Australia won against New Zealand?
Australia has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand won against Australia?
New Zealand has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Australia - New Zealand were as follows:
27.09.2025
New Zealand
-
Australia
33:24
28.09.2024
New Zealand
-
Australia
33:13
21.09.2024
Australia
-
New Zealand
28:31
04.08.2023
New Zealand
-
Australia
23:20
29.07.2023
Australia
-
New Zealand
7:38
Latest results of Australia
Latest results of New Zealand
Rugby Championship Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | South Africa | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 208:151 | 19 |
| 2 | New Zealand | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 159:151 | 19 |
| 3 | Australia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 152:165 | 11 |
| 4 | Argentina | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 162:214 | 10 |
