Result
2:0
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Maiolo F. 🟨,
- 36', Fella G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pelamatti A. ↓, Nunziata F. ↑,
- 46', Forte F. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
- 58', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
- 59', Fella G. ↓, Sorrentino D. ↑,
- 59', Maiolo F. ↓, Munari D. ↑,
- 61', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
- 64', Allegretto A. 🟨,
- 66', Evangelisti N. 🟨,
- 69', Donnarumma D. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
- 79', Ubaldi L. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
- 80', Fusco G. 🟨,
- 81', Casasola T. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
- 84', Awua T. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Di Gennaro M. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Caturano S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Catania
66.4% | Draw
22.5% | Cavese
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Catania - Cavese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.31) |
4.05 ↓
(4.55) |
8.25 ↓
(9.64) |
9.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catania - Cavese?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 3.
- Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cavese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Catania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Catania is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Catania will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Catania won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:4. (average 2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Catania won against Cavese?
Catania has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavese won against Catania?
Cavese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Cavese were as follows:
30.08.2025
Cavese
-
Catania
0:1
12.04.2025
Cavese
-
Catania
0:1
30.11.2024
Catania
-
Cavese
1:1
Latest results of Catania
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento ✔ | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 71:24 | 47 | 80 |
| 2 | Catania | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:21 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 65 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 63 |
| 5 | Cosenza | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 55:36 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Crotone | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 7 | Casarano ✔ | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 51:55 | -4 | 53 |
| 8 | Monopoli ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 52 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Potenza | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51:53 | -2 | 47 |
| 11 | Altamura | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 44 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 51:48 | 3 | 43 |
| 13 | Cavese | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 14 | Sorrento | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 38:54 | -16 | 37 |
| 15 | Picerno | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Latina | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 18 | Foggia | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27:56 | -29 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 45:54 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Trapani | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 45:51 | -6 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
