Result
4:0
14/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 22
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid, Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (755/842) | 79% (296/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (755/842) | 79% (296/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (154/193) | 64% (58/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Quansah J. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Schick P. ⚽, Lucas (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 0, Tapsoba E. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
- 59', Lucas ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 59', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
- 69', Irvine J. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
- 69', Sands J. ↓, Fujita J. ↑,
- 72', Grimaldo A. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, Hofmann J. (A),
- 80', Palacios E. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
- 83', Kaars M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 83', Saliakas M. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
- 90+2', Mets K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
62.7% | Draw
22.1% | St. Pauli
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-2%)
Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.45) |
4.31 ↓
(4.53) |
6.35 ↓
(7.04) |
4.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 51 - 94.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 88.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Bayer (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Bayer (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Bayer (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Bayer (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Bayer (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayer Leverkusen will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Bayer (votes: 20 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Bayer is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- St. Pauli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Bayer is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E.
(Ankle Injury)
Flekken M.
(Injury)
Tella N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones R.J.
(Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Metcalfe C.
(Knee Injury)
Pereira Lage M.
(Muscle Injury)
Smith E.
(Heel Injury)
Wahl H.
(Injury)
- We predict that Bayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against St. Pauli?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Bayer Leverkusen?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli were as follows:
03.02.2026
Bayer Leverkusen
-
St. Pauli
3:0
27.09.2025
St. Pauli
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:2
20.04.2025
St. Pauli
-
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
07.12.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
St. Pauli
2:1
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
