Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 25
- Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/419) | 77% (306/395) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (351/419) | 77% (306/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (96/127) | 59% (54/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/22) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 83% (24/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, Adamo V. ⚽, Sapata (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Mabanza V. R. ⚽, Janssen T. (A),
- 16', 1 - 2, Verhaeghe M. (Own goal),
- 39', Dodeigne N. ↓, Chaib Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Chaib Y. 🟨,
- 68', Van den Bergh R. ↓, Pau M. ↑,
- 68', Boonen I. ↓, Brebels S. ↑,
- 70', Maurer A. 🟨,
- 70', Camara D. 🟨,
- 70', Persyn T. ↓, Sanhaji B. ↑,
- 70', Maurer A. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
- 80', Loune A. ↓, Ziani I. ↑,
- 80', Sapata ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
- 82', Van Aerschot S. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
- 85', Mabanza V. R. ↓, Boere T. ↑,
- 86', Janssen T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Huguinho 🟥,
Chances of winning
RWDM Brussels
29% | Draw
26.5% | Lokeren
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RWDM Brussels's form might have worsened.Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokeren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RWDM Brussels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokeren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
RWDM Brussels - Lokeren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.19 ↑
(2.54) |
3.5 ↑
(3.33) |
2.08 ↓
(2.51) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RWDM Brussels - Lokeren?
Users Predictions:
Lokeren will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RWDM Brussels won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, RWDM Brussels won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RWDM Brussels won against Lokeren?
RWDM Brussels has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokeren won against RWDM Brussels?
Lokeren has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RWDM Brussels - Lokeren were as follows:
16.08.2025
Lokeren
-
RWDM Brussels
1:3
27.04.2025
RWDM Brussels
-
Lokeren
3:2
24.04.2025
Lokeren
-
RWDM Brussels
2:0
09.03.2025
RWDM Brussels
-
Lokeren
1:0
08.12.2024
Lokeren
-
RWDM Brussels
1:4
Latest results of RWDM Brussels
Latest results of Lokeren
