Almería vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Almería
62.4%
Draw
22%
Leonesa
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 21.8% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 20.4% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Almería - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.47)
    4.3
    (4.27)
    5.97
    (6.21)
    6.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Almería has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Leonesa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Almería will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Leonesa were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    04.12.2024 Leonesa - Almería 1:2
    Latest results of Almería
    21.02.2026 Almería - Córdoba 2:1
    13.02.2026 Almería - FC Andorra 3:2
    08.02.2026 Cádiz - Almería 1:2
    01.02.2026 Almería - Ceuta 4:2
    Latest results of Leonesa
    01.03.2026 Leonesa - Las Palmas 0:3
    21.02.2026 Leganés - Leonesa 1:1
    14.02.2026 Leonesa - Zaragoza 0:0
    08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation