Fasil Kenema vs Welwalo Adigrat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Corner kicks
34
Total shots
74
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Mulu J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 68', 1 - 1, Hailemariam E. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Haflz K. ,

Chances of winning


Fasil Kenema
41.5%
Draw
34.1%
Welwalo Adigrat
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 32.8% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 32.6% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.08)
    2.67
    (2.75)
    3.72
    (3.8)
    10%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Fasil Kenema (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fasil Kenema could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat were as follows:
    23.10.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema 0:2
    03.04.2025 Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema 1:2
    05.12.2024 Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat 1:0
    Latest results of Fasil Kenema
    Latest results of Welwalo Adigrat
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna21109226:111539
    2Negele Arsi Ketema22107522:14837
    3Hawassa21106524:131136
    4Mechal2297629:191034
    5Fasil Kenema2189416:13333
    6Adama City21711319:17232
    7Ethio Electric21610511:11028
    8Bahir Dar Kenema21512415:15027
    9Hadiya Hossana2176818:21-327
    10Shire Endaselassie2268815:16-126
    11Ethiopia Bunna2075817:20-326
    12St. George2167816:17-125
    13Dire Dawa21510614:21-725
    14Ethiopian Insurance2259816:17-124
    15Ethiopia Nigd Bank2259826:29-324
    16Sheger Ketema22412618:21-324
    17Welwalo Adigrat2259816:23-724
    18Welayta Dicha21410722:24-222
    19Mekelle 70 Enderta21410714:22-822
    20Arba Menche21210913:23-1016

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation