Paphos vs Celje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Paphos - Celje
Result
2:0
12/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Moja TV
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.01
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
106
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
159
Offsides
01
Fouls
915
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
2813
Touches in the Opposition Box
2316
Passes
76% (311/408)83% (342/414)
Passes in the final third
56% (55/99)67% (64/96)
Crosses
29% (5/17)25% (3/12)
Tackles
78% (7/9)33% (3/9)
Clearances Total
2029
Interceptions
218

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Svetlin T. 🟨,
  • 23', Luckassen D. 🟨,
  • 24', Zabukovnik M. (Pen),
  • 28', Correia J. 🟨,
  • 36', Pileas K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Dragomir V. ⚽,
  • 56', Kvesic M. ↓, Seslar S. ↑,
  • 59', Pileas K. ↓, Rafael Pontelo ↑,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Correia J. ⚽, Jairo (A),
  • 67', Dulca M. ↓, Lhernault C. ↑,
  • 67', Correia J. ↓, Jaja ↑,
  • 75', Juanjo Nieto ↓, Vuklisevic D. ↑,
  • 75', Matko A. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
  • 85', Jairo ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
  • 85', Pepe ↓, Name M. ↑,
  • 85', Tankovic M. ↓, Quina D. ↑,
  • 90+1', Name M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paphos
61.5%		Draw
21.2%		Celje
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 28.2% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 27% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.
  • Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celje might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
    •

    Paphos - Celje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↓
    (1.8)    		 4.41 ↑
    (3.15)    		 5.45 ↑
    (3.95)    		 6.6%
    (12.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Paphos - Celje?
  • Users Predictions: Paphos will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.
    • Recent matches Paphos is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Celje is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Paphos is a favorite.
    • There are questionable in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury) Iosifov N. (Injury) Kucys A. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paphos
    08.12.2024 Ethnikos Achna - Paphos 0:2 ✺
    02.12.2024 Paphos - Omonia 0:1 ✺
    28.11.2024 Fiorentina - Paphos 3:2 ✺
    23.11.2024 Paphos - APOEL 2:1
    10.11.2024 Apollon Limassol - Paphos 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Celje
    07.12.2024 Celje - Domžale 2:2 ✺
    01.12.2024 Nafta - Celje 0:0 ✺
    28.11.2024 Celje - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:3 ✺
    23.11.2024 Celje - Koper 1:0
    10.11.2024 Primorje - Celje 1:3 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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