Result
0:2
23/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 74', 0 - 1, Jonlo ⚽,
- 81', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aretxabaleta 42.2% | Draw 29.8% | Deusto 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Aretxabaleta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Deusto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Aretxabaleta - Deusto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.16 (2.16) |
3.07 ↓ (3.15) |
3.26 ↑ (3.15) |
9.6% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).
- Aretxabaleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deusto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aretxabaleta might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Deusto?
Aretxabaleta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deusto won against Aretxabaleta?
Deusto has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Deusto were as follows:
16.04.2025
Aretxabaleta
-
Deusto
2:0
07.12.2024
Deusto
-
Aretxabaleta
1:0
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation