Result
0:1
24/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mara Sugar
26.4% | Draw
33.2% | Police FC
40.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Mara Sugar - Police FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.44 ↑
(3.04) |
2.73 ↓
(2.8) |
2.24 ↓
(2.46) |
10.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar - Police FC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Mara Sugar (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
- Mara Sugar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Police's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mara Sugar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Police FC?
Mara Sugar has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police FC won against Mara Sugar?
Police FC has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mara Sugar - Police FC were as follows:
14.01.2026
Police FC
-
Mara Sugar
1:1
27.01.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Police FC
0:1
07.12.2024
Police FC
-
Mara Sugar
1:0
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Latest results of Police FC
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
