Leganés vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Leganés - Barcelona
Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 31
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
Leganés - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.19
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
74% (224/303)88% (530/602)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.210.52
Total shots
612
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1422
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
410
Passes
74% (224/303)88% (530/602)
Long passes
24% (15/62)44% (16/36)
Passes in final third
54% (50/92)79% (161/205)
Crosses
21% (3/14)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.84
Fouls
104
Tackles
36% (5/14)53% (10/19)
Duels won
2854
Clearances Total
2729
Interceptions
185
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.520.21
Goals prevented
0.520.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Altimira A. 🟨,
  • 41', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Araujo R. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Saenz J. (Own goal),
  • 59', Diomande Y. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
  • 67', Rodriguez O. ↓, Neyou Y. ↑,
  • 67', Lopez F. ↓, Gavi ↑,
  • 67', Lewandowski R. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
  • 75', Altimira A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
  • 75', Cisse S. ↓, Munir El Haddadi ↑,
  • 80', Garcia E. ↓, Cubarsi P. ↑,
  • 87', Raba D. 🟨,
  • 87', de Jong F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leganés
9.5%		Draw
15%		Barcelona
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.8% 16.7% 72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.6% 16.4% 73.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Leganés - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 10.26 ↑
    (8.94)    		 6.4 ↑
    (5.77)    		 1.28 ↓
    (1.33)    		 3.8%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Leganés - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 12 - 20.7%). Barcelona will win (votes: 42 - 72.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 60.9% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Leganés (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barcelona (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1.
    • Leganés is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Barcelona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Barcelona have a series of home games.
    • In this match Barcelona is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) Olmo D. (Groin Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Leganés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:26 (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leganés - Barcelona were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Barcelona - Leganés 0:1
    Latest results of Leganés
    07.04.2025 Leganés - Osasuna 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Real Madrid - Leganés 3:2 ✺
    16.03.2025 Leganés - Betis 2:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Celta de Vigo - Leganés 2:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Leganés - Getafe 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Barcelona
    09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Barcelona - Betis 1:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Barcelona - Girona 4:1 ✺
    27.03.2025 Barcelona - Osasuna 3:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Leganés - Barcelona?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
    angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
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    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
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    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
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    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
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    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
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    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
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    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
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    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
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    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
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    spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
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    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
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