Agareb vs Sfax Railways – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 13

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 70', 1 - 0, Lachheb C. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Lazzez H. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Ezzine A. ,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Agareb
31.2%
Draw
33.5%
Sfax Railways
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 29.9% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 29.3% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agareb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Sfax Railways has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sfax Railways might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agareb than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfax Railways than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sfax Railways could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Agareb - Sfax Railways Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.4)
    2.68
    (3.05)
    2.55
    (2.1)
    11.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Agareb has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sfax Railways is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Agareb may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Agareb has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Agareb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Agareb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agareb - Sfax Railways were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Sfax Railways - Agareb 1:0
    15.12.2024 Agareb - Sfax Railways 1:1
    Latest results of Agareb
    06.12.2025 Msaken - Agareb 0:0
    22.11.2025 Bouhajla - Agareb 3:1
    Latest results of Sfax Railways
    Tunisian Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamam-Sousse19123430:141639
    2US Tataouine19115327:121538
    3Hammam-Lif19114428:101837
    4Sfax Railways1995525:19632
    5Sporting Ben Arous1969421:14727
    6Msaken1968519:19026
    7BS Bouhajla1967616:16025
    8EM Mahdia1966716:19-324
    9Megrine1964919:27-822
    10Chebba1948719:28-920
    11OC Kerkennah1947815:23-819
    12AS Agareb19451017:29-1217
    13Bousalem19451012:24-1217
    14Menzel Bourguiba1928914:24-1014


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Progres Sakiet19126134:112342
    2Stade Gabesien19105433:151835
    3Kasserine19104522:14834
    4Ksour Essef1975729:20926
    5Ariana1975720:21-126
    6Jendouba Sport19510422:16625
    7Bouchamma1967621:22-125
    8Korba1959511:12-124
    9Kalaa19721022:27-523
    10EGS Gafsa1965816:21-523
    11Redeyef1965820:29-923
    12Djelma1956812:24-1221
    13Moknine1955921:27-620
    14Sidi Bouzid19341211:35-2413

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