Alfaro vs UD Logroñés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alfaro
13.1%
Draw
23.2%
UD Logroñés
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.9% 21.3% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5% 20.8% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Alfaro - UD Logroñés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.95
    (6.5)
    3.93
    (4.25)
    1.43
    (1.4)
    9.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • In recent matches, Alfaro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Logroñés is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Logroñés is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - UD Logroñés were as follows:
    04.01.2026 UD Logroñés - Alfaro 0:1
    04.05.2025 UD Logroñés - Alfaro 1:0
    22.12.2024 Alfaro - UD Logroñés 0:0
    Latest results of Alfaro
    15.03.2026 Ejea - Alfaro 2:2
    08.03.2026 Alfaro - Amorebieta 0:0
    28.02.2026 Ebro - Alfaro 2:1
    22.02.2026 Alfaro - Mutilvera 2:0
    15.02.2026 Utebo - Alfaro 4:1
    Latest results of UD Logroñés
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union27168346:242256
    2Alaves B27148532:151750
    3UD Logrones27145859:283147
    4Tudelano27137746:321446
    5Utebo FC27136847:351245
    6Ebro27914437:251241
    7Eibar B271251032:31141
    8Sestao271010730:26440
    9Amorebieta27108927:25238
    10Gernika271151128:33-538
    11Basconia27711935:36-132
    12Naxara27871229:37-831
    13Ejea27791129:40-1130
    14SD Logrones27612919:32-1330
    15Mutilvera27851427:46-1929
    16Beasain275101229:38-925
    17Alfaro27471622:44-2219
    18Zaragoza B27471621:48-2719

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          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation