México vs Carabanchel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 México - Carabanchel
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 75', 🟥,

Chances of winning


México
41.6%
Draw
29.1%
Carabanchel
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 30.4% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 30.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • México - Carabanchel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.4)
    3.11
    (3)
    3.1
    (2.88)
    10.3%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).
    • México has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carabanchel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Carabanchel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, México won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between México - Carabanchel were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Carabanchel - México 0:0
    Latest results of México
    26.04.2025 El Álamo - México 0:1
    16.04.2025 México - Collado Villalba 1:1
    12.04.2025 Galapagar - México 3:1
    05.04.2025 México - Trival Valderas 1:2
    30.03.2025 Aravaca - México 1:1
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    27.04.2025 Carabanchel - Parla 2:2
    13.04.2025 Carabanchel - Las Rozas 2:0
    06.04.2025 Canillas - Carabanchel 0:0
    30.03.2025 Carabanchel - Alcorcón B 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C440010:4612
    2Siello43016:339
    3Las Rozas43017:619
    4Leganes B42205:148
    5Galapagar42205:328
    6Union Adarve42117:437
    7Villaverde San Andres42115:417
    8CD Mostoles42118:807
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon41215:415
    10Parla41213:5-25
    11Carabanchel41127:704
    12Trival Valderas41035:6-13
    13Mexico41034:6-23
    14AD Torrejon41034:8-43
    15Tres Cantos41032:6-43
    16Ciudad de Madrid40226:8-22
    17San Sebastian Reyes B40223:5-22
    18Alcorcon B40222:6-42

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