Result
3:0
01/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (304/386) | 83% (351/422) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (304/386) | 83% (351/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (72/106) | 81% (127/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 26% (9/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽, Heynen B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
- 57', Kadri A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
- 57', Ito A. ↓, De Vlieger T. ↑,
- 57', Sonko M. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 73', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 73', Steuckers J. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 73', Sattlberger N. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
- 73', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
- 74', Lopes L. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 83', Hashioka D. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
- 85', Ito J. 🟨,
- 89', Heymans D. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
- 90', Heynen B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Sor Y. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
Chances of winning
Genk
51.7% | Draw
24.9% | Gent
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Genk - Gent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.73) |
3.84 ↓
(4.02) |
4.08 ↓
(4.21) |
5.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Genk - Gent?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Gent will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Genk (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Gent (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gent (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Genk is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Genk: Karetsas K.
(Concussion)
Kongolo J.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M.
(Ankle Injury)
Essaouabi H.
(Red Card)
Goore H.
(Muscle Injury)
Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gent: Ayinde A.
(Injury)
Paskotsi M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Gent?
Genk has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Genk?
Gent has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Gent were as follows:
09.11.2025
Gent
-
Genk
1:1
18.05.2025
Gent
-
Genk
1:4
30.03.2025
Genk
-
Gent
4:0
23.02.2025
Genk
-
Gent
0:0
27.10.2024
Gent
-
Genk
0:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
