Burgos vs Leganés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainMovistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.330.57
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
15
Passes
72% (214/299)85% (443/523)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
0.330.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.08
Total shots
811
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
45
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1018
Passes
72% (214/299)85% (443/523)
Long passes
40% (23/57)51% (35/68)
Passes in final third
49% (37/76)64% (74/116)
Crosses
44% (4/9)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.64
Throw ins
1521
Fouls
1810
Tackles
50% (9/18)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
3417
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.080.68
Goals prevented
-0.92-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Atienza M. 🟨,
  • 29', Millan A. 🟨,
  • 39', Morante I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Cordoba I. (A),
  • 59', Diawara A. 🟨,
  • 65', Curro , Appin K. ,
  • 65', Morante I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 66', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 66', Millan A. , Garcia D. ,
  • 66', Rodriguez D. , Duk ,
  • 76', Nino F. , Mollejo V. ,
  • 76', Pena R. , Garcia N. ,
  • 76', Franquesa E. , Melero G. ,
  • 79', Galdames P. 🟨,
  • 84', Diawara A. , Asue L. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Plano O. ,
  • 90+1', Cordoba I. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Gonzalez M. , Lizancos A. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/37prud7e

Chances of winning


Burgos
41%
Draw
33.6%
Leganés
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 32.3% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 32.9% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Burgos - Leganés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.35)
    2.8
    (2.89)
    3.73
    (3.36)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Burgos - Leganés?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Burgos might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Leganés: Figueredo S. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Leganés were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Leganés - Burgos 1:2
    22.01.2024 Leganés - Burgos 2:0
    04.10.2023 Burgos - Leganés 1:0
    12.05.2023 Burgos - Leganés 0:3
    18.09.2022 Leganés - Burgos 0:0
    Latest results of Burgos
    23.01.2026 Málaga - Burgos 3:0
    18.01.2026 Burgos - Huesca 1:0
    15.01.2026 Burgos - Valencia 0:2
    10.01.2026 Burgos - Eibar 1:0
    03.01.2026 Córdoba - Burgos 2:0
    Latest results of Leganés
    24.01.2026 Leganés - Real Sociedad B 2:0
    16.01.2026 Castellón - Leganés 2:0
    11.01.2026 Leganés - Valladolid 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Castellon31148950:381250
    7Burgos CF31148936:261050
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Cultural Leonesa31771729:50-2128
    22Mirandes31761830:50-2027

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