Result
0:5
21/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 4.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (177/244) | 87% (477/550) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 4.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 4.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (177/244) | 87% (477/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 75% (117/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.62 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 3', 0 - 1, Beljo D. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 26', Belcar L. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 2, Beljo D. ⚽, Vidovic G. (A),
- 29', Pajac M. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 3, Stojkovic L. ⚽,
- 45+1', Jukic T. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Stojakovic A. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 46', Vukovic D. ↓, Kamenovic D. ↑,
- 46', Belcar L. ↓, Boskovic B. ↑,
- 52', Bakrar M. 🟨,
- 62', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 62', Bakrar M. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
- 66', Situm M. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 4, Stojkovic L. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
- 75', 0 - 5, Beljo D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Galesic N. ↓, Valincic M. ↑,
- 76', Zajc M. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
- 76', Stojkovic L. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 76', Pajac M. ↓, Dajcer L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
13.3% | Draw
20.7% | Dinamo Zagreb
66% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiva Zagreb's form might have worsened.Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.96 ↑
(4.89) |
4.48 ↑
(3.93) |
1.41 ↓
(1.59) |
7.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dinamo Zagreb will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2.
- Recent form of Lokomotiva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lokomotiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
Mbacke D.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Theophile-Catherine K.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Katic I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
20.12.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:0
05.10.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:1
17.05.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:1
15.03.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
14.12.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Dinamo Zagreb
3:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
