Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sertanense
46.3% | Draw
29.6% | Alcains
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Sertanense - Alcains Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.72) |
3.06 ↓
(3.64) |
3.76 ↓
(4.12) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Sertanense is Relegated to
- Alcains is Relegated to
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 3.
- Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Alcains has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Sertanense is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sertanense won against Alcains?
Sertanense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcains won against Sertanense?
Alcains has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Alcains were as follows:
15.12.2024
Alcains
-
Sertanense
2:0
16.04.2023
Sertanense
-
Alcains
1:3
08.01.2023
Alcains
-
Sertanense
0:3
11.09.2022
Alcains
-
Sertanense
0:1
Latest results of Sertanense
Latest results of Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
