Peñarol de Montevideo vs Colo-Colo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
21/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie Rio de la Plata
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+, Flow, VTV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
11
Total shots
96
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Olivera M. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Mendez V. ,
  • 45+2', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Escobar F. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 46', Umpierrez L. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 46', Fernandez M. , Rojas J. ,
  • 46', Mendez J. , Villagra J. ,
  • 46', Vidal A. , Aquino C. ,
  • 57', Togni G. , Batista F. ,
  • 69', Romero M. , Cuevas Y. ,
  • 69', Hernandez L. , Zavala C. ,
  • 75', Gularte E. , Madruga A. ,
  • 81', Riquelme C. , Ulloa D. ,
  • 81', De Paul F. , Maureira G. ,
  • 89', Zavala C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Arezo M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Batista F. ,
  • 90+4', Arezo M. 🟥,
  • 90+4', Villagra J. 🟥,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
45.2%
Draw
27.2%
Colo-Colo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 27.5% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 27.2% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.
  • Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colo-Colo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñarol de Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Colo-Colo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.36)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    3.35
    (2.83)
    8.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Colo-Colo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Peñarol (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Peñarol (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Colo-Colo were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Colo-Colo 1:1
    Latest results of Colo-Colo
    18.01.2026 Colo-Colo - Alianza Lima 2:3
    07.12.2025 Colo-Colo - Audax Italiano 1:2
    28.11.2025 Cobresal - Colo-Colo 3:0