Result
1:0 penalties
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Sergipano - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | TV Record |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Lorran ↓, Eduardo Moura ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Weriton ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
- 46', Andrey Quintino ↓, Maikon Aquino ↑,
- 54', Marcelo ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 62', Igor Ryan ↓, Italo ↑,
- 67', Rayamersson 🟨,
- 69', Kaique ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 74', Wendel ↓, Sassa ↑,
- 74', Gabriel ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 75', Henrique L. ↓, Nel H. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+3', Kaio Henrique 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', Sassa 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Sassa (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Rafael Pascoal (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Icaro (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tiba (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Fabrício (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Kaio Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Confiança
70.4% | Draw
19% | Guarany de Porto da Folha
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Guarany de Porto da Folha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Porto da Folha than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Confiança - Guarany de Porto da Folha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.38) |
4.8 ↑
(4.4) |
8.66 ↑
(6.8) |
9.6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Confiança - Guarany de Porto da Folha?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Confiança (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Confiança is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Guarany PF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Confiança is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 3.7:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Confiança won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 3.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Confiança won against Guarany de Porto da Folha?
Confiança has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Porto da Folha won against Confiança?
Guarany de Porto da Folha has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Confiança - Guarany de Porto da Folha were as follows:
05.02.2026
Confiança
-
Guarany de Porto da Folha
1:0
13.01.2025
Confiança
-
Guarany de Porto da Folha
5:1
Latest results of Confiança
Latest results of Guarany de Porto da Folha
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lagarto (3) | America SE (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Itabaiana (2) | Falcon (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Confianca (4) | Guarany SE (5) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sergipe (1) | America SE (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | Confianca (4) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sergipe (1) | Confianca (4) | |
3rd place| 2 | Itabaiana (2) | America SE (6) | |
