Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Division - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Chances of winning
Diarra
33.3% | Draw
35.1% | USFAS Bamako
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diarra's form might have worsened.USFAS Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (-5%)
Diarra - USFAS Bamako Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.28) |
2.59 ↓
(2.89) |
2.88 ↓
(3.31) |
9.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).
- Diarra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- USFAS has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- USFAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Diarra has had a series of away games.
- Diarra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Diarra won against USFAS Bamako?
Diarra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has USFAS Bamako won against Diarra?
USFAS Bamako has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diarra - USFAS Bamako were as follows:
13.12.2025
USFAS Bamako
-
Diarra
2:1
10.05.2025
USFAS Bamako
-
Diarra
1:1
15.01.2025
Diarra
-
USFAS Bamako
0:2
Latest results of USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Djoliba | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:6 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Real Bamako | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Binga | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 32 |
| 4 | Diarra | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 19:11 | 8 | 31 |
| 5 | USFAS Bamako | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Stade Malien | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 26 |
| 7 | Korofina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:16 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Bougouba | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Derby Academie | 17 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 | Bakaridjan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Foot Elite | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | Onze Createurs | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 | US Bougouni | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:24 | -17 | 12 |
| 14 | Mali Coura | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
