Canada vs USA, AmeriCup Basketball – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball AmeriCup Basketball Canada - USA
Result
85:90
31/08/2025 at 16:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AmeriCup - Play Offs - 3rd place
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
brazilBrazilESPN 3
chileChileDirecTV Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6564
Field Goals Made
3432
Field Goals %
52.3%50%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4837
2-Point Field Goals Made
3120
2-Point Field Goals %
64.6%54.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1727
3-Point Field Goals Made
312
3-Point Field Goals %
17.6%44.4%
Free Throws Attempted
1917
Free Throws Made
1414
Free Throws %
73.7%82.4%
Offensive Rebounds
149
Defensive Rebounds
2118
Total Rebounds
3527
Assists
1825
Blocks
25
Turnovers
1410
Steals
46
Personal Fouls
1919

Chances of winning


Canada
58.5%
USA
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canada's performance.
  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canada than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Canada - USA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.74)

    2.25
    (1.96)
    6.7%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Canada - USA?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • Canada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • USA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Canada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 458:480. (average 91.6:96).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canada - USA were as follows:
    10.07.2024 USA - Canada 86:72
    10.09.2023 USA - Canada 118:127
    11.09.2022 Canada - USA 80:84
    Latest results of Canada
    30.08.2025 Canada - Argentina 73:83
    28.08.2025 Canada - Colombia 94:56
    25.08.2025 Canada - Puerto Rico 82:73
    23.08.2025 Canada - Panama 99:49
    22.08.2025 Venezuela - Canada 54:88
    Latest results of USA
    30.08.2025 Brazil - USA 92:77
    28.08.2025 USA - Uruguay 83:70
    26.08.2025 USA - Brazil 90:78
    24.08.2025 Uruguay - USA 86:85
    23.08.2025 USA - Bahamas 105:93
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1CanadaColombia94 : 56
    2Puerto RicoArgentina77 : 82
    3Dominican RepublicBrazil82 : 94
    4USAUruguay83 : 70

    Semi-finals
    1CanadaArgentina73 : 83
    2BrazilUSA92 : 77

    Final
    1ArgentinaBrazil47 : 55

    3rd place
    2CanadaUSA85 : 90