Lorenzo Sonego vs Learner Tien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
19/01/2025 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax
croatiaCroatiaMax
czech-republicCzech-republicMax
denmarkDenmarkMax
finlandFinlandMax
franceFranceMax
germanyGermanyDiscovery+(Ger)
hungaryHungaryMax
italyItalyDiscovery+
norwayNorwayMAX
polandPolandMax
romaniaRomaniaMax
serbiaSerbiaMax
sloveniaSloveniaMax
swedenSwedenMax
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK

Match Stats

Aces
204
Double Faults
27
1st Serve Percentage
66%57%
1st Serve Points Won
90% (57/63)74% (43/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)32% (14/44)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)55% (6/11)
Average 1st Serve Speed
195 km/h174 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
161 km/h157 km/h
1st Return Points Won
26% (15/58)11% (7/63)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (30/44)56% (18/32)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)25% (1/4)
Winners
5821
Unforced Errors
3429
Net Points Won
79% (19/24)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
75% (71/95)56% (57/102)
Return Points Won
44% (45/102)25% (24/95)
Total Points Won
59% (116/197)41% (81/197)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
94% (16/17)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)6% (1/17)
Total Games Won
64% (21/33)36% (12/33)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
52.9%
Learner Tien
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 45.7%

Lorenzo Sonego - Learner Tien Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.8
(1.77)

2.02
(2.08)
5.1%
(4.6%)
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Learner Tien?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 35 - 60.3%). Tien will win (votes: 23 - 39.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 47.7%72.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 55. Tien is ranked ATP: 121.
    • Sonego is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Tien in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    Draw
    2026

    Quarter-finals
    1Hanfmann Y. (1)Hassan B.
    2Faria J.Mikrut L.
    3Reis Da Silva J.Rocha H.
    4Sekulic P. (WC)Trungelliti M. (18)
    5Burruchaga R. A. (2)Peniston R.
    6Kolar Z.Gea A.
    7Harris L.Cina F.
    8Pacheco Mendez R.Vallejo D. (30)
    9Basilashvili N. (3)Bueno G.
    10Herbert P.Den Ouden G.
    11Marinkov P. (WC)McCabe J.
    12Watanuki Y.Budkov Kjaer N. (23)
    13Barrios Vera T. (4)Gueymard Wayenburg S.
    14Hewitt C. (WC)Zheng M.
    15Crawford O.Merida Aguilar D.
    16Piros Z.Klein L. (28)
    17Holt B. (5)Neumayer L.
    18Zeppieri G.Added D.
    19Sakamoto R.Evans D.
    20Pavlovic L.Smith C. (32)
    21McDonald M. (6)Popko D.
    22Galan D. E.Grenier H.
    23Sachko V.Mmoh M.
    24Bouzige M. (WC)Draxl L. (20)
    25Blockx A. (7)Cecchinato M.
    26Shimabukuro S.Molcan A.
    27Kubler J.Mayot H.
    28Moreno De Alboran N.Gaubas V. (17)
    29Nishioka Y. (8)Fatic N.
    30Engel J.Loffhagen G.
    31Galarneau A.Basavareddy N.
    32Holmgren A.Ofner S. (19)
    33Moller E. (9)Polmans M. (WC)
    34Bolt A.Ymer E.
    35Llamas Ruiz P.Bernet H. (WC)
    36Wong C.Blanchet U. (31)
    37Tseng C. H. (10)Landaluce M.
    38Ellis B. (WC)Travaglia S.
    39Kym J.Prado Angelo J. C.
    40Sweeny D.Pellegrino A. (26)
    41Choinski J. (11)Riedi L.
    42Coppejans K.Nishikori K.
    43Ficovich J. P.Rodionov J.
    44Habib H.Svajda Z. (29)
    45Virtanen O. (12)Mejia N.
    46Wu Y.Krueger M.
    47Boyer T.Barrena A.
    48Lajal M.Passaro F. (27)
    49Lajovic D. (13)Diaz Acosta F.
    50Cassone M.Hsu Y. H.
    51Guillen Meza A.Seyboth Wild T.
    52Giustino L.Maestrelli F. (24)
    53Prizmic D. (14)Olivieri G. A.
    54Heide G.Clarke J.
    55Fery A.Winter E. (WC)
    56Tomic B.Dellien H. (25)
    57Harris B. (15)Rodesch C.
    58Tu L. (WC)Jodar R.
    59Glinka D.Tabur C.
    60van Assche L.Echargui M. (22)
    61Carballes Baena R. (16)Bouquier A.
    62Pinnington Jones J.Bailly G. A.
    63Damm M.Onclin G.
    64Droguet T.Jarry N. (21)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24TBD #47TBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51TBD #52
    27TBD #53TBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30TBD #59TBD #60
    31TBD #61TBD #62
    32TBD #63TBD #64

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32