Sousa vs Esporte de Patos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paraibano - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Claudinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yan Philippe , Matheus Bambu ,
  • 46', Mateuzinho , Lucas Zanatelli ,
  • 59', Edson Kapa , Gabigol ,
  • 61', Diego Viana , Natalicio ,
  • 65', Matheus Lima , Eduardo Matuto ,
  • 68', Aslen Kevin , Crystian ,
  • 75', Claudinho 🟨,
  • 79', Claudinho , Juniel ,
  • 80', Gustavo Henrique , Marquinhos ,
  • 81', Hebert , Veraldo ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sousa
61.8%
Draw
23.9%
Esporte de Patos
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 22.8% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 21.8% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Esporte de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sousa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esporte de Patos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Sousa - Esporte de Patos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.4)
    3.8
    (3.97)
    6.41
    (7.24)
    10.3%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
    • Sousa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Esporte de Patos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Esporte de Patos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sousa is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sousa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Esporte de Patos were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Esporte de Patos - Sousa 1:3
    Latest results of Sousa
    28.01.2026 Sousa - Treze 2:1
    24.01.2026 Botafogo PB - Sousa 1:1
    21.01.2026 Serra Branca - Sousa 2:1
    17.01.2026 Sousa - Confiança PB 3:0
    10.01.2026 Pombal - Sousa 1:2
    Latest results of Esporte de Patos
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Serra Branca (4)Botafogo PB (1)1 : 0
    2Sousa (3)Campinense (2)0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2