Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Newton S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', 1 - 1, Hooper J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Morpeth Town 41.6% | Draw 26.2% | Ashton United 32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morpeth Town's performance.Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ashton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Morpeth Town - Ashton United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.57) |
3.49 ↓ (3.55) |
2.85 ↑ (2.47) |
9.1% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1.
- Morpeth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ashton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ashton has had a series of home games.
- Morpeth might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Morpeth Town won against Ashton United?
Morpeth Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Morpeth Town?
Ashton United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morpeth Town - Ashton United were as follows:
15.11.2025
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
3:2
14.12.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ashton United
1:4
07.09.2024
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
0:1
20.01.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ashton United
3:3
03.10.2023
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
4:3
Latest results of Morpeth Town
Latest results of Ashton United
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Hednesford (2) | Stockton (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | FC United (3) | Warrington Rylands (4) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Hednesford (2) | Warrington Rylands (4) | |