Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NPL Premier Division - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Newton S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', 1 - 1, Hooper J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Morpeth Town
41.6% | Draw
26.2% | Ashton United
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morpeth Town's performance.Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ashton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Morpeth Town - Ashton United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.57) |
3.49 ↓
(3.55) |
2.85 ↑
(2.47) |
9.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1.
- Morpeth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ashton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ashton has had a series of home games.
- Morpeth might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Morpeth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Morpeth Town won against Ashton United?
Morpeth Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Morpeth Town?
Ashton United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morpeth Town - Ashton United were as follows:
15.11.2025
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
3:2
14.12.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ashton United
1:4
07.09.2024
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
0:1
20.01.2024
Morpeth Town
-
Ashton United
3:3
03.10.2023
Ashton United
-
Morpeth Town
4:3
Latest results of Morpeth Town
Latest results of Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hednesford | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 57 |
| 2 | Hebburn Town | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 3 | FC United | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 56 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Gainsborough | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Stockton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 50:35 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Lancaster | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Bamber Bridge | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46:33 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Warrington | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 37:51 | -14 | 43 |
| 10 | Ilkeston | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 44:47 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Ashton Utd | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 35:41 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Guiseley | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 | Leek | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 38:46 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | Cleethorpes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39:31 | 8 | 35 |
| 15 | Rushall | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 | Whitby | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 34 |
| 17 | Hyde | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 46:54 | -8 | 32 |
| 18 | Prescot | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 19 | Stocksbridge | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28:41 | -13 | 29 |
| 21 | Workington | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
