Result
4:1
19/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Daniel GTA ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 0, Romarinho ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 1, Juan Douglas ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 1, Debu ⚽,
- 80', 🟥,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Águia de Marabá
54.2% | Draw
28.4% | Independência
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Águia de Marabá - Independência Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.7) |
3.21 ↓
(3.5) |
5.24 ↑
(4.2) |
9.8%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Águia de Marabá - Independência?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
- Águia de Marabá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Independência has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Águia de Marabá is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Águia de Marabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Águia de Marabá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Águia de Marabá won against Independência?
Águia de Marabá has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independência won against Águia de Marabá?
Independência has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Águia de Marabá - Independência were as follows:
27.04.2025
Independência
-
Águia de Marabá
0:2
22.01.2025
Águia de Marabá
-
Independência
2:1
Latest results of Águia de Marabá
Latest results of Independência
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0 |
Final
