Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (192/266) | 85% (388/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (192/266) | 85% (388/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/70) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (38/74) | 73% (117/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Gabriel Tota ⚽, Victao (A),
- 39', Gabriel Tota 🟨,
- 43', Xandao 🟨,
- 45', Alexsander ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', 1 - 1, Cuello ⚽,
- 54', 1 - 2, Cuello ⚽,
- 56', 🟨,
- 58', Reinier 🟨,
- 62', Anderson ↓, Thiago Braga ↑,
- 70', Roman I. ↓, Ruan Tressoldi ↑,
- 71', Cuello 🟨,
- 71', Cuello ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 85', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
- 85', Preciado A. ↓, Natanael ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Ruan Tressoldi ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pouso Alegre
13.4% | Draw
25% | Atlético Mineiro
61.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.86 ↓
(8.5) |
3.68 ↓
(4) |
1.5 ↑
(1.36) |
8.6%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Pouso Alegre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético MG is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pouso Alegre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pouso Alegre won against Atlético Mineiro?
Pouso Alegre has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Pouso Alegre?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
26.01.2025
Pouso Alegre
-
Atlético Mineiro
0:0
Latest results of Pouso Alegre
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
