Result
5:3
08/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 4', Ghavtadze G. (G),
- 5', Belousov A. (G), Emelyanov M. (A),
- 15', Mustafin D. (Pen),
- 16', Bukatkin D. (G), Withama N. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 27', Emelyanov M. (G),
- 32', Nevedrov D. (G), Murashov E. (A),
- 38', Nevedrov D. (G), Ghavtadze G. (A),
- 40', Ghavtadze G. (G),
Chances of winning
MFK Tyumen 60.2% | Draw 18% | Fakel-GTS Surgut 21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MFK Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MFK Tyumen than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MFK Tyumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.62) |
5.05 ↑ (4.9) |
4.17 ↑ (3.58) |
10% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 2.
- Recent performances by Tyumen have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fakel-GTS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Fakel-GTS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tyumen is the team to beat.
- We predict that Tyumen will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:32. (average 4.9:3.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tyumen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:18. (average 4.8:4.5).
How many head-to-head matches has MFK Tyumen won against Fakel-GTS Surgut?
MFK Tyumen has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel-GTS Surgut won against MFK Tyumen?
Fakel-GTS Surgut has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut were as follows:
07.03.2026
MFK Tyumen
-
Fakel-GTS Surgut
3:6
20.11.2025
Fakel-GTS Surgut
-
MFK Tyumen
6:5
07.11.2025
MFK Tyumen
-
Fakel-GTS Surgut
5:5
06.10.2025
Fakel-GTS Surgut
-
MFK Tyumen
1:2
05.10.2025
Fakel-GTS Surgut
-
MFK Tyumen
2:5
Latest results of MFK Tyumen
Latest results of Fakel-GTS Surgut
Russian Super Liga Futsal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ukhta | 44 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 211:158 | 91 |
| 2 | CPRF | 42 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 169:93 | 90 |
| 3 | Yugra | 43 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 156:100 | 83 |
| 4 | Yekaterinburg | 43 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 167:121 | 83 |
| 5 | Torpedo | 44 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 172:145 | 78 |
| 6 | Norilsky Nickel | 41 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 148:113 | 73 |
| 7 | Tyumen | 41 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 134:124 | 73 |
| 8 | Kristall St. Petersburg | 42 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 133:144 | 61 |
| 9 | IrAero | 42 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 126:136 | 53 |
| 10 | Fakel-GTS | 44 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 125:158 | 47 |
| 11 | Novaja Generacija | 40 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 109:141 | 47 |
| 12 | Sibiryak | 42 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 124:198 | 32 |
| 13 | Lipetsk | 48 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 62:205 | 23 |
Promotion ~ SuperLiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)