Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Thailand | True Ball Thai 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (222/278) | 85% (347/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (222/278) | 85% (347/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (37/65) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 76% (89/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 41% (11/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.00 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Phochai T. ⚽, Lyngbo S. (A),
- 33', Boonlha S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Boonlha S. ↓, Karin C. ↑,
- 54', Doumbouya L. ↓, Phosri N. ↑,
- 56', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Poeiphimai T. ⚽, Buran C. (A),
- 59', 1 - 2, Phala B. ⚽,
- 63', Poeiphimai T. 🟨,
- 64', Lukthong N. ↓, Sriwichai W. ↑,
- 64', Conrado ↓, Judivan ↑,
- 66', Buran C. 🟨,
- 72', Phala B. ↓, Prempak P. ↑,
- 72', Buran C. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
- 72', Harntes A. ↓, Sathaporn W. ↑,
- 72', Waenlor A. ↓, Park Jong-Woo ↑,
- 77', Seekaewnit P. ↓, Jujeen A. ↑,
- 80', Poeiphimai T. ↓, Sapso P. ↑,
- 82', Kanitsribampen W. 🟨,
- 85', Jujeen A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sapso P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nongbua Pitchaya
41.1% | Draw
24.4% | Thai Port
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nongbua Pitchaya's performance.Thai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thai Port might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nongbua Pitchaya that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(3.03) |
3.74 ↓
(3.88) |
2.65 ↑
(1.96) |
9.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Port (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Port (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).
- Recent matches Nongbua Pitchaya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Port is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Nongbua Pitchaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nongbua Pitchaya won against Thai Port?
Nongbua Pitchaya has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thai Port won against Nongbua Pitchaya?
Thai Port has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nongbua Pitchaya - Thai Port were as follows:
01.12.2024
Thai Port
-
Nongbua Pitchaya
2:1
19.02.2023
Thai Port
-
Nongbua Pitchaya
2:1
18.09.2022
Nongbua Pitchaya
-
Thai Port
0:0
Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya
Latest results of Thai Port
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
