União Suzano vs Atlético Monte Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
05/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Gui Sales (Pen),
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Baiano J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', 1 - 2, Pedoca ,
  • 78', 1 - 3, Gui Sales ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


União Suzano
22.9%
Draw
27.8%
Atlético Monte Azul
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 29% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 27.6% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Suzano's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Monte Azul's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Suzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Monte Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • União Suzano - Atlético Monte Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.97
    (3.01)
    3.26
    (3.15)
    1.84
    (2.25)
    10.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for União Suzano - Atlético Monte Azul?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Monte Azul will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monte Azul: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches União Suzano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Monte Azul is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Monte Azul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of União Suzano
    Latest results of Atlético Monte Azul
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa Santista1080218:81024
    2Marilia1064016:41222
    3Rio Claro1063113:7621
    4XV de Jau1052312:9317
    5Rio Preto1045115:11417
    6Catanduva1044213:9416
    7Uniao Barbarense1044210:9116
    8EC Sao Bernardo1043311:8315
    9Paulista1033411:11012
    10Uniao Sao Joao103349:9012
    11Rio Branco SP102448:13-510
    12Bandeirante102447:13-610
    13Francana102178:14-67
    14Itapirense1013610:17-76
    15Desportivo101365:16-116
    16Uniao Suzano101278:16-85

          Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A4