Manaus vs Águia de Marabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
13/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
78
Corner Kicks
76
Red Cards
10
Total shots
129
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
76
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Mauricio Pinto ,
  • 8', 2 - 0, Thiago Spice ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Kaique ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', 2 - 2, Kaique ,
  • 65', Brenno 🟥,
  • 69', 2 - 3, Thalyson ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Lila G. ,

Chances of winning


Manaus
57.2%
Draw
26.3%
Águia de Marabá
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.5% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 26.9% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manaus's performance.
  • Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Águia de Marabá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manaus that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águia de Marabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manaus - Águia de Marabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.82)
    3.47
    (3.3)
    5.55
    (3.99)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Águia de Marabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Manaus is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manaus won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Manaus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manaus - Águia de Marabá were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Águia de Marabá - Manaus 1:1
    06.02.2025 Manaus - Águia de Marabá 3:2
    Latest results of Manaus
    Latest results of Águia de Marabá
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM43018:629
    2Manauara42207:348
    3Sao Raimundo RR42204:138
    4Manaus41122:4-24
    5Monte Roraima40221:4-32
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Araguaina532012:4811
    2Guapore43106:2410
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez42024:7-36
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita50052:18-160


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense52127:617
    4Brasiliense51404:317
    5Primavera AC40223:6-32
    6Inhumas40042:8-60


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Mixto51314:406
    4Ceilandia41122:3-14
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG40133:6-31


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba52308:539
    2Trem42207:438
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio51045:9-43
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana42115:327
    3Parnahyba52125:507
    4Moto Club41213:305
    5Sampaio Correa30210:1-12
    6IAPE50235:10-52


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI52308:449
    2Piaui42118:627
    3Ferroviario42116:427
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN53115:2310
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary52125:327
    5Sousa52033:5-26
    6Laguna RN50141:9-81


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA52125:507
    4CSE52128:9-17
    5Jacuipense51135:9-44
    6Alagoinhas51044:9-53


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3CRAC52124:317
    4Betim52125:507
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA53026:9-39
    2Tombense42114:137
    3Rio Branco ES42117:527
    4Democrata GV42113:217
    5Vitoria ES42027:436
    6Real Noroeste50142:8-61


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Velo Clube52215:328
    3Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu50232:7-52


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cianorte53026:429
    3Cascavel52214:228
    4Santa Catarina52129:727
    5Sao Luiz51225:7-25
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz50232:5-32
    6EC Sao Jose50232:7-52

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)