San Miguel vs Gimnasia y Tiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 19
  • Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
139
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Busse W. , Heredia F. ,
  • 56', Galetto J. , Bravo G. ,
  • 58', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 60', Cardozo F. 🟨,
  • 64', Sosa D. , Nasta B. ,
  • 64', Lavezzi A. , Salto C. ,
  • 76', Rojas F. , Keko ,
  • 76', Contin N. , Reynaga R. ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Dening E. ,
  • 87', Dening E. , Ferrero J. ,
  • 90+1', Villarreal R. , Morello M. ,
  • 90+2', Juarez J. , Sena F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Miguel
55.1%
Draw
29.8%
Gimnasia y Tiro
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 30.8% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 29.4% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.79)
    3.1
    (3.01)
    6.19
    (5.32)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Users Predictions: San Miguel will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Miguel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, San Miguel is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - San Miguel 1:0
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Patronato113446:10-413
    11Quilmes1033411:8312
    12Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    13Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    14Colegiales113358:12-412
    15Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    16Agropecuario103259:13-411
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation