Result
4:3
16/02/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Welton Heleno ↓, Brendon ↑,
- 33', 0 - 1, Cleberson ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Mendes G. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 46', Danilo Matielo ↓, Marquinhos Brazion ↑,
- 46', Lucas de Sa ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 46', Julio Cesar ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 46', Vinicius Paulista ↓, Joao Mafra ↑,
- 46', 0 - 2, Alex Goncalves ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 2, Marcinho ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 2, Marquinhos Brazion ⚽,
- 56', Marquinhos Brazion 🟨,
- 59', 3 - 2, Marquinhos Brazion ⚽,
- 67', Coruja 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 75', De Paula ↓, Brener ↑,
- 75', 4 - 2, Cristian Renato ⚽,
- 81', Brendon ↓, Gui Nascimento ↑,
- 81', Alex Goncalves ↓, Fabiano P. ↑,
- 82', Cristian Renato ↓, Carlos Alexandre ↑,
- 86', Bruninho 🟨,
- 88', 4 - 3, Brener ⚽,
- 89', Juninho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Joinville
46.1% | Draw
30.5% | Santa Catarina
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joinville's performance.Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joinville that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Joinville - Santa Catarina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.56) |
2.99 ↑
(2.88) |
3.91 ↑
(2.7) |
9.5%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
- Joinville is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Santa Catarina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Santa Catarina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Joinville have a series of guest games.
- Joinville will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Santa Catarina?
Joinville has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Catarina won against Joinville?
Santa Catarina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Joinville - Santa Catarina were as follows:
Latest results of Joinville
Latest results of Santa Catarina
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
