Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiere Division - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Diarra
62.2% | Draw
25.5% | Bougouni
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Diarra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bougouni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Diarra - Bougouni Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.48) |
3.56 ↓
(3.59) |
7.34 ↓
(7.55) |
10.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
- Diarra is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bougouni is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bougouni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Diarra is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Diarra will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Diarra won against Bougouni?
Diarra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bougouni won against Diarra?
Bougouni has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Diarra - Bougouni were as follows:
29.11.2025
Bougouni
-
Diarra
0:1
17.02.2025
Diarra
-
Bougouni
0:0
Latest results of Bougouni
Malian Première Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Djoliba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Bamako | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 32 |
| 3 | Binga | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | Diarra | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 18:7 | 11 | 31 |
| 5 | USFAS Bamako | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | Korofina | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Bougouba | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Stade Malien | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Bakaridjan | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 17 |
| 10 | Derby Academie | 16 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Foot Elite | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:24 | -12 | 15 |
| 12 | Onze Createurs | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10:16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | US Bougouni | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 6:22 | -16 | 12 |
| 14 | Mali Coura | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
