Result
0:1
22/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (276/355) | 80% (324/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (276/355) | 80% (324/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (41/72) | 44% (35/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (49/89) | 59% (54/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Emerson Barbosa 🟨,
- 18', Nathan Melo 🟨,
- 28', Rodrigo Alves 🟨,
- 30', Betao 🟨,
- 42', Mancha 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Guilherme Parede (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Karl ↑,
- 56', Raphael 🟨,
- 58', Mirandinha ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 59', Emerson Barbosa ↓, Renan Castro ↑,
- 63', Luiz Otavio ↓, Adriano Jr ↑,
- 63', Mancha ↓, Jhoninha ↑,
- 65', Mateus Norton 🟨,
- 71', Raphael ↓, Cicinho ↑,
- 72', Maranhao ↓, Kewen ↑,
- 75', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
- 75', Daniel Amorim (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Isaque ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
- 81', Sillas ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 82', Mateus Norton ↓, Caique ↑,
- 90+2', Renan Castro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Velo Clube
39.2% | Draw
33.1% | Guarani
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Velo Clube - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.22) |
2.79 ↓
(2.86) |
3.36 ↓
(3.45) |
8.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Velo Clube - Guarani?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarani (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Velo Clube could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Guarani: Igor Pereira
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guarani: Rian
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Velo Clube won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Velo Clube won against Guarani?
Velo Clube has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Velo Clube?
Guarani has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Velo Clube - Guarani were as follows:
19.02.2025
Guarani
-
Velo Clube
1:1
Latest results of Velo Clube
Latest results of Guarani
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
