Independência vs Manaus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Independência - Manaus
Result
1:0
07/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
45
Total shots
108
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Independência
24.8%
Draw
27.6%
Manaus
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 27.2% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 28.5% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Independência - Manaus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (3.21)
    3.29
    (3.33)
    1.9
    (2.03)
    10.3%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))
    • Independência is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Manaus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Manaus might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independência won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independência won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independência - Manaus were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Manaus - Independência 1:0
    19.02.2025 Independência - Manaus 1:2
    Latest results of Independência
    Latest results of Manaus
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1