South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory Youth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
01/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
73
Total shots
125
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Jankovic M. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Hoey J. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Mihailidis J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 2, Mikkola M. ,
  • 66', 3 - 2, Bonada N. ,
  • 85', 4 - 2, Marshall J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
53%
Draw
24.5%
Melbourne Victory Youth
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 26.4% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 24.5% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.
  • Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Melbourne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory Youth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.18)
    3.74
    (3.44)
    4.06
    (2.86)
    9.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory Youth?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Victory Youth will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 11).
    • South Melbourne is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Victory Youth is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Victory Youth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, South Melbourne is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, South Melbourne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory Youth were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Melbourne Victory Youth - South Melbourne 3:3
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakleigh Cannons1172228:131523
    2South Melbourne1170419:13621
    3Heidelberg Utd1162318:13520
    4Hume City1162317:14320
    5Avondale FC1161424:15919
    6Preston Lions1162320:11914
    7Melbourne City U211135317:15214
    8Bentleigh Greens1142513:15-214
    9George Cross1135312:15-314
    10St Albans1141612:23-1113
    11Dandenong Thunder1132613:14-111
    12Altona Magic1124513:18-510
    13Dandenong City1133513:17-48
    14Green Gully110385:28-233

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation